Trading Costs Karl B. Diether Fisher College of Business Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 1 / 17 Overview of Costs Trading is costly Trading costs are usually relatively low in financial markets. But they still can dramatically affect the profitability of strategies. Costs Commissions. Cannot usually trade at the observed price. I I Bid/Ask spread. Price impact of trades. Operational costs (office space, employing traders, etc). Short-sale costs (more on this later). I I I I Have to pay extra fees. Hard to locate shares. Have to provide collateral. Sometimes SEC bans short selling. Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 2 / 17 Implementation Shortfall: Paper vs. Reality On paper Sometimes strategies that look good on paper are only profitable on paper because of trading costs. The difference between the pre-cost hypothetical return and the actual return earned by a strategy can be huge. Implementation Shortfall The difference between the returns on paper (pre-cost return) and the actual return (after-cost return). Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 3 / 17 Implementation Shortfall: Paper vs. Reality Trading costs and implementation shortfalls How can failing to take into account trading costs potentially make back-testing a strategy misleading? Which costs (commissions, bid-ask spread, price impact, etc) is the most likely to cause an implementation shortfall? Is the cost that is biggest on average the one most likely to produce an implementation shortfall? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 4 / 17 Commissions Commission cost by type Transaction Method Online Trading Automated Telephone Orders Desk Commission max($20 or $0.02 per share) max($20 or $0.02 per share) $45 + $0.03 per share As a percentage of price The median NYSE stock price during 2007 was $27.88. 0.02 = 0.0007 = 0.07%. 27.88 The median Nasdaq stock price during 2007 was $13.77. 0.02 = 0.0007 = 0.15%. 13.77 Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 5 / 17 Historical Brokerage Commissions Average commissions on round-lot transactions in NYSE stocks source: Jones (2002) Graph notes Prior to 1975 commissions were regulated. Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 6 / 17 Bid-Ask Spread Bid price the price at which a dealer is willing to purchase a given number of shares (for example: 100 shares). Ask price The price at which a dealer will sell a given number of shares. Bid-Ask spreads in 2005: Diether, Lee and Werner (2005) NYSE Nasdaq Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Ask-Bid dollars 0.031 0.046 (Ask-Bid)/Midquote % 0.113 0.220 Trading Costs 7 / 17 Historical Bid-Ask Spreads Average bid-ask spreads in $ for Dow Jones Stocks source: Jones (2002) Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 8 / 17 Bid-Ask Spread Questions Why does the bid-ask spread exist? Why do Nasdaq stocks have higher spreads on average? What might cause spreads to be wide? What might cause spreads to widen? What type of stocks will have higher spreads on average? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 9 / 17 Price Impact No impact If your trade size is smaller than the posted bid-ask amount, then you can buy at the ask and sell at the bid. Sometimes you may be able to trade inside the spread. Trading large amounts If you wish to trade a large amount of shares, you may have to trade outside the bid-ask spread or you may move the spread. I I When you try to sell the price goes down. When you try to buy the price goes up. Why might a large trade affect prices? Why might prices go move or the bid-ask spread widen if you try to sell a large amount? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 10 / 17 Managing Price Impact Order splitting One solution to price impact is to trade in small increments. Split your order into pieces so you can trade at or inside the spread. Downside Is there any downside to splitting up your orders into small trades? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 11 / 17 Effective Spreads Effective spreads Effective spread (in dollars) = 2*(execution price - midquote) Effective spread (%) = 2*(execution price - midquote)/midquote Uses actually execution prices so it should capture price impact. Bid-Ask and effective spreads in 2005: DLW (2005) NYSE Nasdaq Ask-Bid dollars 0.031 0.046 Ask−Bid Midquote % 0.113 0.220 Effective Spread dollars 0.027 0.040 Effective Spread % 0.099 0.199 Is it a problem Is price impact a problem for a typical trade? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 12 / 17 Estimating Costs: Bid/Ask Spread Example Suppose you bought IBM one month ago and sold it today. The average price one month ago was $50, and the average price was $60 today. What were the round trip trading costs if the bid/ask spread was $2 in both cases? The ask when you bought was $51 and the bid when you sold was $59. Therefore the round trip trading costs were: (51 − 50) + (60 − 59) = $2 Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 13 / 17 Estimating Costs: Price Impact Example Suppose the bid is $49 and the ask is $51 all day (average price = $50). Suppose you buy a lot of shares and are forced to pay $52. The asking price moves to $52, but it is temporary and the ask goes back down to $51. In this case the one-way trading costs are, $52 − $50 = $2. Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 14 / 17 Estimating Total Costs NYSE: One Way Total Costs = Commisions + Effective Spreads/2 = 0.07% + 0.099%/2 = 0.12% Nasdaq: One Way Total Costs = Commisions + Effective Spreads/2 = 0.15% + 0.199%/2 = 0.25% Bad estimates? For what kinds of stocks are these estimate likely to be misleading? Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 15 / 17 Roughly Estimating Costs for a Strategy Rough estimate for annual returns: rafter cost = rbefore costs − annual turnover × round-trip trading cost Example Suppose your portfolio earned a pre-cost annual return of 15%. The turnover on your portfolio is 300% annually and the round trip trading costs are 0.5%. What approximately is the after-cost return? rafter cost = 15% − (300%)0.5% = 13.5% Note: turnover equals purchases divided by beginning of the period assets. Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 16 / 17 Summary Paper vs reality Sometimes strategies that look good on paper only are profitable on paper because of trading costs. Major costs discussed Commissions. Bid/Ask spread. Price impact of trades. Total one-way costs Probably between 0.12% - 0.25% for a typical stock. Karl B. Diether (Fisher College of Business) Trading Costs 17 / 17